New poll from Forum Research confirms size of NDP's lead in B.C.
By John Twigg
A new opinion poll of B.C. voting intentions reinforces a previous finding that the New Democratic Party has a solid lead while the B.C. Liberal Party support is being eroded by the upstart B.C. Conservatives, but my analysis of the numbers says the outcome of the next election still remains to be determined.
The telephone poll of about 1,000 people by Forum Research Inc. on Jan. 23 found NDP support at 39 %, up from 34 % in the previous month's poll and enough to deliver what Forum said would be a majority government of 57 seats to NDP leader Adrian Dix if that level of support held through to the May 2013 election; the New Democrats have and can win at that level when the opposition is divided but it's too far away to say the pattern will hold.
That uncertainty is reflected in findings for the B.C. Liberal Party and Premier Christy Clark that were somewhat improved from the previous poll, other findings for Dix were mixed and the findings for John Cummins and the B.C. Conservative Party were somewhat worse, so the poll does give "the Clark Liberals" a glimmer of hope for the May 14, 2013 voting day.
Clark's staff shuffle reflects need to keep anti-NDP coalition intact
Tory import Boessenkool must overcome a growing series of Liberal policy blunders
By John Twigg
The metaphor about cabinet shuffles being like "shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic" has been overused in politics and journalism but somehow it still seems to fit well on the tough situation facing the B.C. Liberal Party government now nominally headed by Premier Christy Clark.
Increasingly it is looking like Ms Clark and her many holdovers from the Campbell Liberals regime will be going down to an ignominious defeat in the next provincial election in May 2013, probably starting with dismal showings in two byelections expected to be called in coming weeks.
As we've pointed out here before, indeed in the first issue of my revived newsletters business, the problem is not merely the massive mound of garbage left behind by former premier Gordon Campbell but increasingly on top of that it is Clark and her cabinet and advisers who have been bungling issue after issue after issue, to the point that grumblings and biting critiques have moved from being only in a few top blogs like those of Alex Tsakumis, Bill Tieleman and others into the mainstream media columns of Mike Smyth, Vaughn Palmer and increasingly numerous others, with lots more echoes on open line shows.
[Editor's Note: The QC Sentinel is pleased to announce that it will be carrying John Twigg's new column, "The Daily Twigg". John has been an active analyst of B.C.'s political landscape for some time now. The QC Sentinel has put out notice since its inception for local writers and columnists to join its publication and contribute local content but to date the invitation has proven to be rather sparse. That offer still stands.]
BCIMC's costly burn in Sino-Forest stock crash shows pension funds better kept close to home
By John Twigg
Dec. 18, 2011
I was shocked to see the story in Saturday's Globe and Mail (Dec. 17) to the gist that the British Columbia Investment Management Corporation (BCIMC) was the largest shareholder among more than a few who got burned for multi millions or even billions of dollars when ostensibly some evil rival short-sellers allegedly in June used false information to drive the Sino-Forest share value down to about zero from a mkt cap max of $5 billion - BCIMC had owned 6.5 million shares (price and value unknown) but is now down to "only" about 1.5 million shares and has a class-action lawsuit pending while the OSC froze the stock and the RCMP are investigating possible fraud. The story mentions that BCIMC withheld its votes at AGMs in 2007, 2008 and 2010 reportedly to protest the poor attendance of some Sino-Forest directors.